Declined Recovery Case Study

The Challenge: E-Commerce Merchant Losing Revenue at Checkout

A large US e-commerce retailer generating millions in transactions was losing significant revenue due to failed checkouts as a result of declined payments from otherwise eager customers.

Key issues:

  • ●  32% of transactions were failing at checkout
  • ●  Repeat business was suffering due to failed payments
  • ●  Customer acquisition investments were lost due to churn.

    The company estimated they were losing over $38 million annually due to these issues.

    The Solution

    The approach:

  1. Real-Time Intervention: Catch failed transactions instantly
  2. Smart Analysis: Use AI to assess failure reasons and customer data
  3. Rapid Recovery: Save the transaction in less than 2 seconds of the initial attempt Implementation

     

The integration process took just three weeks:

  • ●  Week 1: System analysis and customization
  • ●  Week 2: API integration and testing
  • ●  Week 3: Soft launch and final adjustments

    The team worked closely with the client’s tech team to ensure a smooth integration.

    Immediate Results

    Within the first week after full implementation, the results were striking:

  • ●  20% reduction in failed transactions
  • ●  15% increase in overall revenue
  • ●  7% projected boost in customer lifetime value

These improvements translated to an additional $334K in revenue for that first week alone.

Long-Term Impact

Over the course of the following year:

  1. Sustained Revenue Growth:
    • ○  The revenue increase stabilized at 12%
    • ○  Cumulative additional revenue reached $8 million
  2.  
  3. Improved Customer Metrics:
    • ○  Cart abandonment rates dropped by 15%
    • ○  Repeat purchase rate increased by 26%
  4.  
  5. Operational Efficiencies:

○ Customer service contacts about payment issues decreased by 10%

Market Position:
○ The client reported gaining market share, partly attributed to improved checkout success

What set the solution apart in this case:

  1. Speed of Integration: Full implementation in just three weeks
  2. Immediate Impact: Significant results within the first week of launch
  3. Scalability: Cloud native system can easily scale to handle millions of transactions per hour
  4. Continuous Improvement: AI system kept learning and improving recovery rates
  5. Simple MSA: No set up fees or penalties to disconnect


Conclusion

This case study demonstrates the ability to make a substantial impact on a company’s bottom line by addressing the critical issue of declined transactions. By recovering lost sales in real-time, we not only boost revenue but also enhance customer experience and loyalty.

Metric

Pre-Implementation.       

Post Implementation         

Impact

Annual Processed Volume     

$67M

$75M

12% additional direct revenue

Decline Rate

32%

25%

22% reduction in failed checkouts

Value of Declines

$35M

$27M

31% lower dollar impact of declines on revenue

Dispute Rate

0.2%

0.2%

No change


Calculations and Explanations


1. Annual Processing Volume

  • ●  Pre-Implementation: $67M (Combined Customer Initiated (CIT) and Merchant Initiated (MIT) volumes)
  • ●  Post-Implementation: $75M
  • ●  Calculation: Sum of CIT and MIT Volumes
  • ●  Impact: The business experienced organic growth, but with improved checkout rates


    2. Decline Rate

  • ●  Pre-Implementation: 32%
  • ●  Post-Implementation: 25%
  • ●  Calculation: Original Decline Rate × (1 – Cure Rate)
  •      ○ 32%×(1-22%)=25%
    ●  Impact: platform significantly improves conversion rates

  • 3. Value of Declines

●  Pre-Implementation: $35M

  • ●  Post-Implementation: $27M
  • ●  Calculation: Annual Attempted Processing Volume × Decline Rate
  • ●  Impact: Declines grew at a significantly slower pace than top-line revenue with FlexFactor


    4. Dispute Rate

  • ●  Pre-Implementation: 0.2%
  • ●  Post-Implementation: 0.2%
  • ●  Calculation: (Number of Disputes / Total Transactions) × 100
  • ●  Impact: While the rate remains the same, the absolute number of disputes decreases due to fewer declined transactions


    Financial Impact Summary


  1. 1.Recovered Revenue from Declined Transactions:
    • ○  Annual Recovery: $8M
    • ○  Calculation: Post-FlexFactor Decline Value – Pre-FlexFactor Decline Value

  2. 2. Additional Customer Lifetime Value (CLV):
    • ○  Estimated Additional CLV: $4.5M
    • ○  Calculation: (CIT Added CLV × CIT Saved Declines) + (MIT Added CLV × MIT Saved Declines)
    • ○  Note: This is a long-term benefit based on retaining customers whose transactions would have been declined. The cost saved by avoiding additional churn wasn’t factored into this.

       


  3. 3. Flex Costs:
    • ○  Estimated Annual Cost: $1.2M
    • ○  Calculation: Flex Fees + Flex Dispute Fees

  4. 4. Net Financial Impact:
    • ○  First-Year Benefit: $6.8M
    • ○  Calculation: Recovered Revenue – Flex Costs
    • ○  Long-Term Benefit: $11.3M
    • ○  Calculation: (Recovered Revenue + Additional CLV) – Flex Costs

      By implementing these solutions, this model projects a first-year financial benefit of $8M, primarily from recovered revenue that would have been lost to declined transactions. The long-term benefit, including additional Customer Lifetime Value, is estimated at $11.3M. These figures demonstrate the significant positive impact on a merchant’s bottom line.